A consortium of banks led by Nepal Investment Bank
Limited (NIBL) has approved a NPR 2.80 billion loan for the development of the
Kabeli B-1 Hydroelectric Project (25 MW) in principal. The signature of loan agreement will take place within two months after clearing few formal procedures.
The run-of-the-river project with a capacity of 25 MW lies in Phanchthar and Taplejung districts. I am involved in this project from initial stage. From getting statutory approvals from the concerned departments while I was working for this company few years back to raising equity and debt right now on behalf of the investment bank, I am involved in this project in every stage. Since I get a lot of queries from around the world regarding debt and equity environment within the country, I hope this post will answer the questions.
The run-of-the-river project with a capacity of 25 MW lies in Phanchthar and Taplejung districts. I am involved in this project from initial stage. From getting statutory approvals from the concerned departments while I was working for this company few years back to raising equity and debt right now on behalf of the investment bank, I am involved in this project in every stage. Since I get a lot of queries from around the world regarding debt and equity environment within the country, I hope this post will answer the questions.
EQUITY PLANNING
Out of NPR 1.20 billion, the promoters will inject 60
percent. The remaining 40 percent will be raised through IPOs. NIBL Capital is
the issue manager.
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS OF THE
PROJECT
IRR of the Project
|
18.11%
|
NPV (NPR)
|
2,171,096,144
|
Normal Payback Period (yrs)
|
5.39
|
Discounted Payback Period (yrs)
|
8.44
|
B/C Ratio (Discounted)
|
1.54
|
Equity IRR
|
28.02%
|
Equity Payback Period (years)
|
3.91
|
DSCR for the First Year
|
1.66
|
Average DSCR
|
1.82
|
Plant Factor
|
64.72%
|
Unit Energy Cost per kWh (NPR)
|
3.53
|
Cost per MW (NPR)
|
160,000,000
|
Projected Income Statement
|
|||||
Particulars/Year
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
Total Energy in kWh
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
Price per kWh
|
5.38
|
5.54
|
5.70
|
5.87
|
6.03
|
Income from Energy Sale
|
762,774,394
|
785,657,626
|
808,540,857
|
831,424,089
|
854,307,321
|
Less:
|
|||||
Operation and Maintenance Cost
|
40,000,000
|
42,000,000
|
44,100,000
|
46,305,000
|
48,620,250
|
Royalty
|
17,861,326
|
18,284,666
|
18,708,006
|
19,131,346
|
19,554,685
|
Interest on Debt
|
302,115,080
|
288,335,341
|
272,961,026
|
255,807,613
|
236,669,227
|
Depreciation
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
Total Expenses
|
466,643,073
|
455,286,673
|
442,435,698
|
427,910,625
|
411,510,830
|
Profit Before Bonus & Tax
|
296,131,321
|
330,370,952
|
366,105,159
|
403,513,464
|
442,796,491
|
Less:
|
|||||
Bonus & Welfare Fund
|
5,922,626
|
6,607,419
|
7,322,103
|
8,070,269
|
8,855,930
|
Profit Before Tax
|
290,208,694
|
323,763,533
|
358,783,056
|
395,443,194
|
433,940,562
|
Less:
|
|||||
Tax
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Profit After Tax
|
290,208,694
|
323,763,533
|
358,783,056
|
395,443,194
|
433,940,562
|
Dividend to Shareholders
|
180,000,000
|
180,000,000
|
180,000,000
|
180,000,000
|
180,000,000
|
Reserve Transfer to BS
|
110,208,694
|
143,763,533
|
178,783,056
|
215,443,194
|
253,940,562
|
Total Reserve in BS
|
110,208,694
|
253,972,227
|
432,755,283
|
648,198,478
|
902,139,039
|
Number of Shares
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
EPS
|
24.18
|
26.98
|
29.90
|
32.95
|
36.16
|
DPS
|
15%
|
15%
|
15%
|
15%
|
15%
|
Particulars/Year
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10
|
Total Energy in kWh
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
Price per kWh
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
Income from Energy Sale
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
Less:
|
|||||
Operation and Maintenance Cost
|
51,051,263
|
53,603,826
|
56,284,017
|
59,098,218
|
62,053,129
|
Royalty
|
19,978,025
|
19,978,025
|
19,978,025
|
19,978,025
|
19,978,025
|
Interest on Debt
|
215,316,170
|
191,492,162
|
164,911,267
|
135,254,462
|
102,165,806
|
Depreciation
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
Total Expenses
|
393,012,124
|
371,740,679
|
347,839,976
|
320,997,371
|
290,863,626
|
Profit Before Bonus & Tax
|
484,178,428
|
505,449,874
|
529,350,577
|
556,193,181
|
586,326,927
|
Less:
|
|||||
Bonus & Welfare Fund
|
9,683,569
|
10,108,997
|
10,587,012
|
11,123,864
|
11,726,539
|
Profit Before Tax
|
474,494,860
|
495,340,876
|
518,763,566
|
545,069,318
|
574,600,388
|
Less:
|
|||||
Tax
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Profit After Tax
|
474,494,860
|
495,340,876
|
518,763,566
|
545,069,318
|
574,600,388
|
Dividend to Shareholders
|
240,000,000
|
240,000,000
|
240,000,000
|
240,000,000
|
240,000,000
|
Reserve Transfer to BS
|
234,494,860
|
255,340,876
|
278,763,566
|
305,069,318
|
334,600,388
|
Total Reserve in BS
|
1,136,633,899
|
1,391,974,775
|
1,670,738,341
|
1,975,807,659
|
2,310,408,047
|
Number of Shares
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
EPS
|
39.54
|
41.28
|
43.23
|
45.42
|
47.88
|
DPS
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
20%
|
Particulars/Year
|
11
|
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
Total Energy in kWh
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
Price per kWh
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
Income from Energy Sale
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
Less:
|
|||||
Operation and Maintenance Cost
|
65,155,785
|
68,413,574
|
71,834,253
|
75,425,966
|
79,197,264
|
Royalty
|
19,978,025
|
19,978,025
|
19,978,025
|
19,978,025
|
19,978,025
|
Interest on Debt
|
65,248,169
|
24,058,466
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Depreciation
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
Total Expenses
|
257,048,646
|
219,116,732
|
198,478,945
|
202,070,658
|
205,841,956
|
Profit Before Bonus & Tax
|
620,141,907
|
658,073,821
|
678,711,608
|
675,119,895
|
671,348,597
|
Less:
|
|||||
Bonus & Welfare Fund
|
12,402,838
|
13,161,476
|
13,574,232
|
13,502,398
|
13,426,972
|
Profit Before Tax
|
607,739,069
|
644,912,344
|
665,137,376
|
661,617,497
|
657,921,625
|
Less:
|
|||||
Tax
|
60,773,907
|
64,491,234
|
66,513,738
|
66,161,750
|
65,792,163
|
Profit After Tax
|
546,965,162
|
580,421,110
|
598,623,638
|
595,455,748
|
592,129,463
|
Dividend to Shareholders
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
Reserve Transfer to BS
|
246,965,162
|
280,421,110
|
298,623,638
|
295,455,748
|
292,129,463
|
Total Reserve in BS
|
2,557,373,209
|
2,837,794,318
|
3,136,417,957
|
3,431,873,704
|
3,724,003,167
|
Number of Shares
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
EPS
|
45.58
|
48.37
|
49.89
|
49.62
|
49.34
|
DPS
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
Particulars/Year
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
Total Energy in kWh
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
Price per kWh
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
Income from Energy Sale
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
Less:
|
|||||
Operation and Maintenance Cost
|
83,157,127
|
87,314,984
|
91,680,733
|
96,264,769
|
101,078,008
|
Royalty
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
Interest on Debt
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Depreciation
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
Total Expenses
|
307,542,849
|
311,700,705
|
316,066,455
|
320,650,491
|
325,463,730
|
Profit Before Bonus & Tax
|
569,647,704
|
565,489,847
|
561,124,098
|
556,540,062
|
551,726,823
|
Less:
|
|||||
Bonus & Welfare Fund
|
11,392,954
|
11,309,797
|
11,222,482
|
11,130,801
|
11,034,536
|
Profit Before Tax
|
558,254,750
|
554,180,050
|
549,901,616
|
545,409,260
|
540,692,287
|
Less:
|
|||||
Tax
|
111,650,950
|
110,836,010
|
109,980,323
|
109,081,852
|
108,138,457
|
Profit After Tax
|
446,603,800
|
443,344,040
|
439,921,293
|
436,327,408
|
432,553,829
|
Dividend to Shareholders
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
Reserve Transfer to BS
|
146,603,800
|
143,344,040
|
139,921,293
|
136,327,408
|
132,553,829
|
Total Reserve in BS
|
3,870,606,966
|
4,013,951,007
|
4,153,872,300
|
4,290,199,708
|
4,422,753,537
|
Number of Shares
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
EPS
|
37.22
|
36.95
|
36.66
|
36.36
|
36.05
|
DPS
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
Particulars/Year
|
21
|
22
|
23
|
24
|
25
|
Total Energy in kWh
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
Price per kWh
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
Income from Energy Sale
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
Less:
|
|||||
Operation and Maintenance Cost
|
106,131,908
|
111,438,504
|
117,010,429
|
122,860,950
|
129,003,998
|
Royalty
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
Interest on Debt
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Depreciation
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
Total Expenses
|
330,517,630
|
335,824,226
|
341,396,151
|
347,246,672
|
353,389,720
|
Profit Before Bonus & Tax
|
546,672,923
|
541,366,327
|
535,794,402
|
529,943,881
|
523,800,833
|
Less:
|
|||||
Bonus & Welfare Fund
|
10,933,458
|
10,827,327
|
10,715,888
|
10,598,878
|
10,476,017
|
Profit Before Tax
|
535,739,464
|
530,539,001
|
525,078,514
|
519,345,003
|
513,324,816
|
Less:
|
|||||
Tax
|
107,147,893
|
106,107,800
|
105,015,703
|
103,869,001
|
102,664,963
|
Profit After Tax
|
428,591,571
|
424,431,201
|
420,062,811
|
415,476,002
|
410,659,853
|
Dividend to Shareholders
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
Reserve Transfer to BS
|
128,591,571
|
124,431,201
|
120,062,811
|
115,476,002
|
110,659,853
|
Total Reserve in BS
|
4,551,345,108
|
4,675,776,309
|
4,795,839,120
|
4,911,315,123
|
5,021,974,976
|
Number of Shares
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
EPS
|
35.72
|
35.37
|
35.01
|
34.62
|
34.22
|
DPS
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
Particulars/Year
|
26
|
27
|
28
|
29
|
30
|
Total Energy in kWh
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
141,746,470
|
Price per kWh
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
6.19
|
Income from Energy Sale
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
877,190,553
|
Less:
|
|||||
Operation and Maintenance Cost
|
135,454,198
|
142,226,908
|
149,338,253
|
156,805,166
|
164,645,424
|
Royalty
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
117,719,055
|
Interest on Debt
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Depreciation
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
106,666,667
|
Total Expenses
|
359,839,920
|
366,612,629
|
373,723,975
|
381,190,887
|
389,031,146
|
Profit Before Bonus & Tax
|
517,350,633
|
510,577,923
|
503,466,578
|
495,999,665
|
488,159,407
|
Less:
|
|||||
Bonus & Welfare Fund
|
10,347,013
|
10,211,558
|
10,069,332
|
9,919,993
|
9,763,188
|
Profit Before Tax
|
507,003,621
|
500,366,365
|
493,397,246
|
486,079,672
|
478,396,219
|
Less:
|
|||||
Tax
|
101,400,724
|
100,073,273
|
98,679,449
|
97,215,934
|
95,679,244
|
Profit After Tax
|
405,602,896
|
400,293,092
|
394,717,797
|
388,863,738
|
382,716,975
|
Dividend to Shareholders
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
300,000,000
|
Reserve Transfer to BS
|
105,602,896
|
100,293,092
|
94,717,797
|
88,863,738
|
82,716,975
|
Total Reserve in BS
|
5,127,577,872
|
5,227,870,964
|
5,322,588,761
|
5,411,452,499
|
5,494,169,474
|
Number of Shares
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
12,000,000
|
EPS
|
33.80
|
33.36
|
32.89
|
32.41
|
31.89
|
DPS
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
25%
|
I
wish the team of this project GOOD LUCK in advance.
It was really nice information sir. Thank you for that.
ReplyDeleteWell I will be grateful if you will be kind enough to attend my queries too.
1. I did not understand on what basis can the operational cost be growing on and on even after the hault in growth of production after the first five years?
2. Isn't it that the depreciation should be added back in Net profit after tax?
And if there had been an estimated cash flow statement, it would be really very helpful.
I hope that you would get back on these as soon as possible. Thank you for your time.