Monday 23 June 2014

FINANCIAL CLOSURE OF KABELI B-1 HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT (25 MW).


A consortium of banks led by Nepal Investment Bank Limited (NIBL) has approved a NPR 2.80 billion loan for the development of the Kabeli B-1 Hydroelectric Project (25 MW) in principal. The signature of loan agreement will take place within two months after clearing few formal procedures.



The run-of-the-river project with a capacity of 25 MW lies in Phanchthar and Taplejung districts. I am involved in this project from initial stage. From getting statutory approvals from the concerned departments while I was working for this company few years back to raising equity and debt right now on behalf of the investment bank, I am involved in this project in every stage. Since I get a lot of queries from around the world regarding debt and equity environment within the country, I hope this post will answer the questions.



EQUITY PLANNING
Out of NPR 1.20 billion, the promoters will inject 60 percent. The remaining 40 percent will be raised through IPOs. NIBL Capital is the issue manager.


FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS OF THE PROJECT

IRR of the Project
18.11%
NPV (NPR)
    2,171,096,144
Normal Payback Period (yrs)
                    5.39
Discounted Payback Period (yrs)
                    8.44
B/C Ratio (Discounted)
                    1.54
Equity IRR
28.02%
Equity Payback Period (years)
3.91
DSCR for the First Year
1.66
Average DSCR
1.82
Plant Factor
64.72%
Unit Energy Cost per kWh (NPR)
3.53
Cost per MW (NPR)
       160,000,000




Projected Income Statement



Particulars/Year
1
2
3
4
5
Total Energy in kWh
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
Price per kWh
                  5.38
                  5.54
                  5.70
                  5.87
                  6.03
Income from Energy Sale
     762,774,394
     785,657,626
     808,540,857
     831,424,089
     854,307,321
Less:





Operation and Maintenance Cost
       40,000,000
       42,000,000
       44,100,000
       46,305,000
       48,620,250
Royalty
       17,861,326
       18,284,666
       18,708,006
       19,131,346
       19,554,685
Interest on Debt
     302,115,080
     288,335,341
     272,961,026
     255,807,613
     236,669,227
Depreciation
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
Total Expenses
     466,643,073
     455,286,673
     442,435,698
     427,910,625
     411,510,830
 Profit Before Bonus & Tax
     296,131,321
     330,370,952
     366,105,159
     403,513,464
     442,796,491
Less:





Bonus & Welfare Fund
         5,922,626
         6,607,419
         7,322,103
         8,070,269
         8,855,930
Profit Before Tax
     290,208,694
     323,763,533
     358,783,056
     395,443,194
     433,940,562
Less:





Tax
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
Profit After Tax
     290,208,694
     323,763,533
     358,783,056
     395,443,194
     433,940,562
Dividend to Shareholders
     180,000,000
     180,000,000
     180,000,000
     180,000,000
     180,000,000
Reserve Transfer to BS
     110,208,694
     143,763,533
     178,783,056
     215,443,194
     253,940,562
Total Reserve in BS
     110,208,694
     253,972,227
     432,755,283
     648,198,478
     902,139,039
Number of Shares
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
EPS
24.18
26.98
29.90
32.95
36.16
DPS
15%
15%
15%
15%
15%






Particulars/Year
6
7
8
9
10
Total Energy in kWh
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
Price per kWh
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
Income from Energy Sale
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
Less:





Operation and Maintenance Cost
       51,051,263
       53,603,826
       56,284,017
       59,098,218
       62,053,129
Royalty
       19,978,025
       19,978,025
       19,978,025
       19,978,025
       19,978,025
Interest on Debt
     215,316,170
     191,492,162
     164,911,267
     135,254,462
     102,165,806
Depreciation
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
Total Expenses
     393,012,124
     371,740,679
     347,839,976
     320,997,371
     290,863,626
 Profit Before Bonus & Tax
     484,178,428
     505,449,874
     529,350,577
     556,193,181
     586,326,927
Less:





Bonus & Welfare Fund
         9,683,569
       10,108,997
       10,587,012
       11,123,864
       11,726,539
Profit Before Tax
     474,494,860
     495,340,876
     518,763,566
     545,069,318
     574,600,388
Less:





Tax
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
Profit After Tax
     474,494,860
     495,340,876
     518,763,566
     545,069,318
     574,600,388
Dividend to Shareholders
     240,000,000
     240,000,000
     240,000,000
     240,000,000
     240,000,000
Reserve Transfer to BS
     234,494,860
     255,340,876
     278,763,566
     305,069,318
     334,600,388
Total Reserve in BS
  1,136,633,899
  1,391,974,775
  1,670,738,341
  1,975,807,659
  2,310,408,047
Number of Shares
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
EPS
39.54
41.28
43.23
45.42
47.88
DPS
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%






Particulars/Year
11
12
13
14
15
Total Energy in kWh
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
Price per kWh
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
Income from Energy Sale
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
Less:





Operation and Maintenance Cost
       65,155,785
       68,413,574
       71,834,253
       75,425,966
       79,197,264
Royalty
       19,978,025
       19,978,025
       19,978,025
       19,978,025
       19,978,025
Interest on Debt
       65,248,169
       24,058,466
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
Depreciation
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
Total Expenses
     257,048,646
     219,116,732
     198,478,945
     202,070,658
     205,841,956
 Profit Before Bonus & Tax
     620,141,907
     658,073,821
     678,711,608
     675,119,895
     671,348,597
Less:





Bonus & Welfare Fund
       12,402,838
       13,161,476
       13,574,232
       13,502,398
       13,426,972
Profit Before Tax
     607,739,069
     644,912,344
     665,137,376
     661,617,497
     657,921,625
Less:





Tax
       60,773,907
       64,491,234
       66,513,738
       66,161,750
       65,792,163
Profit After Tax
     546,965,162
     580,421,110
     598,623,638
     595,455,748
     592,129,463
Dividend to Shareholders
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
Reserve Transfer to BS
     246,965,162
     280,421,110
     298,623,638
     295,455,748
     292,129,463
Total Reserve in BS
  2,557,373,209
  2,837,794,318
  3,136,417,957
  3,431,873,704
  3,724,003,167
Number of Shares
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
EPS
45.58
48.37
49.89
49.62
49.34
DPS
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%






Particulars/Year
16
17
18
19
20
Total Energy in kWh
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
Price per kWh
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
Income from Energy Sale
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
Less:





Operation and Maintenance Cost
       83,157,127
       87,314,984
       91,680,733
       96,264,769
     101,078,008
Royalty
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
Interest on Debt
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
Depreciation
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
Total Expenses
     307,542,849
     311,700,705
     316,066,455
     320,650,491
     325,463,730
 Profit Before Bonus & Tax
     569,647,704
     565,489,847
     561,124,098
     556,540,062
     551,726,823
Less:





Bonus & Welfare Fund
       11,392,954
       11,309,797
       11,222,482
       11,130,801
       11,034,536
Profit Before Tax
     558,254,750
     554,180,050
     549,901,616
     545,409,260
     540,692,287
Less:





Tax
     111,650,950
     110,836,010
     109,980,323
     109,081,852
     108,138,457
Profit After Tax
     446,603,800
     443,344,040
     439,921,293
     436,327,408
     432,553,829
Dividend to Shareholders
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
Reserve Transfer to BS
     146,603,800
     143,344,040
     139,921,293
     136,327,408
     132,553,829
Total Reserve in BS
  3,870,606,966
  4,013,951,007
  4,153,872,300
  4,290,199,708
  4,422,753,537
Number of Shares
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
EPS
37.22
36.95
36.66
36.36
36.05
DPS
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%






Particulars/Year
21
22
23
24
25
Total Energy in kWh
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
Price per kWh
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
Income from Energy Sale
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
Less:





Operation and Maintenance Cost
     106,131,908
     111,438,504
     117,010,429
     122,860,950
     129,003,998
Royalty
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
Interest on Debt
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
Depreciation
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
Total Expenses
     330,517,630
     335,824,226
     341,396,151
     347,246,672
     353,389,720
 Profit Before Bonus & Tax
     546,672,923
     541,366,327
     535,794,402
     529,943,881
     523,800,833
Less:





Bonus & Welfare Fund
       10,933,458
       10,827,327
       10,715,888
       10,598,878
       10,476,017
Profit Before Tax
     535,739,464
     530,539,001
     525,078,514
     519,345,003
     513,324,816
Less:





Tax
     107,147,893
     106,107,800
     105,015,703
     103,869,001
     102,664,963
Profit After Tax
     428,591,571
     424,431,201
     420,062,811
     415,476,002
     410,659,853
Dividend to Shareholders
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
Reserve Transfer to BS
     128,591,571
     124,431,201
     120,062,811
     115,476,002
     110,659,853
Total Reserve in BS
  4,551,345,108
  4,675,776,309
  4,795,839,120
  4,911,315,123
  5,021,974,976
Number of Shares
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
EPS
35.72
35.37
35.01
34.62
34.22
DPS
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%






Particulars/Year
26
27
28
29
30
Total Energy in kWh
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
     141,746,470
Price per kWh
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
                  6.19
Income from Energy Sale
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
     877,190,553
Less:





Operation and Maintenance Cost
     135,454,198
     142,226,908
     149,338,253
     156,805,166
     164,645,424
Royalty
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
     117,719,055
Interest on Debt
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
                      -  
Depreciation
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
     106,666,667
Total Expenses
     359,839,920
     366,612,629
     373,723,975
     381,190,887
     389,031,146
 Profit Before Bonus & Tax
     517,350,633
     510,577,923
     503,466,578
     495,999,665
     488,159,407
Less:





Bonus & Welfare Fund
       10,347,013
       10,211,558
       10,069,332
         9,919,993
         9,763,188
Profit Before Tax
     507,003,621
     500,366,365
     493,397,246
     486,079,672
     478,396,219
Less:





Tax
     101,400,724
     100,073,273
       98,679,449
       97,215,934
       95,679,244
Profit After Tax
     405,602,896
     400,293,092
     394,717,797
     388,863,738
     382,716,975
Dividend to Shareholders
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
     300,000,000
Reserve Transfer to BS
     105,602,896
     100,293,092
       94,717,797
       88,863,738
       82,716,975
Total Reserve in BS
  5,127,577,872
  5,227,870,964
  5,322,588,761
  5,411,452,499
  5,494,169,474
Number of Shares
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
       12,000,000
EPS
33.80
33.36
32.89
32.41
31.89
DPS
25%
25%
25%
25%
25%


I wish the team of this project GOOD LUCK in advance.


1 comment:

  1. It was really nice information sir. Thank you for that.
    Well I will be grateful if you will be kind enough to attend my queries too.
    1. I did not understand on what basis can the operational cost be growing on and on even after the hault in growth of production after the first five years?
    2. Isn't it that the depreciation should be added back in Net profit after tax?

    And if there had been an estimated cash flow statement, it would be really very helpful.

    I hope that you would get back on these as soon as possible. Thank you for your time.

    ReplyDelete